|
||
|
Wow, it's been eight years and a day since I started this blog. And nearly thirteen years since I started the Nettle blog. Eight years later and the State of CA still says they have a total of $753.82 in unclaimed funds waiting for Andy.
And now for something completely different. A well-done public service advert from UK:
So Fraser Spiers is getting a lot of attention and praise for a blog post entitled Future Shock (subsequently picked up by MacWorld), wherein he argues that what we are seeing "in the industry's reaction to the iPad is nothing less than future shock." He argues that all the vehement "ravings" against the iPad from "apparently technologically sophisticated people" are the result of these technology shamans fearing the end of their superiority over "Normals", you know, "the rest of us", the non-techie people who represent, oh, 99% of the population on earth. Here's Frasier:
He explains that the iPad is aimed at helping normal people get real work done, and that the real work is "not formatting the margins, installing the printer driver, uploading the document, finishing the PowerPoint slides, running the software update or reinstalling the OS" but rather,
Okay, point taken. But I think Fraser forgets one important thing, and I suspect at least part of the techie concern -- that I share -- about the iPad is, how do I ever become an advanced user of it? Put another way, how do I fully develop and exploit a symbolic mentality about the iPad that will help me be the most productive I can be? Or am i supposed to just reach a certain mediocre level of productivity -- somewhere slower than the speed of thought -- and that's it, with the iPad?
A Brief Review of the Three Mentalities.
Some Examples of Symbolic Representation We All Use.
The Rise of Mobile and Handheld Devices. A sidenote: think about Twitter for a moment. What started as short blurbs and link posts by users quickly became conversation threads and snippets, and in order to keep track, the user community invented things like #hashtags and retweets (RTs). This shows how a community of users, who get more sophisticated with a system, evolve from the simple to the more abstract levels of mentality and representation. In twitter, as users got more comfortable with the system, the short-hands evolved quickly and now there is a whole symbolic language that enables people to be productive within the 140-character confines of that environment. Right now I am typing this document in TextEdit on my Mac. I'm not on my iPhone trying to type this -- it'd take forever and nobody in their right mind would. And now we get back to the iPad. Would I be able to compose the article on the iPad? Should I? Is what I am doing "real work" that Fraser Speirs would approve of?
What Speirs Hasn't Taken Into Account. My central complaint with the iPad is the very thing that makes it so attractive to Speirs' "Normals". Sure, it's going to be an incredibly fun tool for "teaching the child, healing the patient, selling the house, logging the road defects, fixing the car at the roadside," etc. For doing stuff. Lots of stuff. In a fun, deeply enactive/iconic way. What has made it possible to approach working almost "at the speed of thought" is a fast computer, fast software, fast remote servers and high bandwidth, and a rich mixture of enactive, iconic, and symbolic representation where users can, over time, evolve their skills to ever-higher levels of abstraction, so that they can become ever more productive. I wanted the iPad to be the replacement for my MacBook Pro. I wanted Jobs to show, through his demonstration of the iPad last week, how this new device truly is revolutionary and the next step in computing. But for it to be that, there better be a good story about how one can be productive at the speed of thought with this new device. There better be a good story about how this new device's user interface reflects a lot of deep thinking and care about not only the enactive and iconic mentalities, but also the symbolic. Now, I suspect the people inside Apple have indeed thought of these things. And I suspect that over time, we will see new product updates that reflect high-level abstractions in the user inteface that will appeal to people who hang out at the symbolic level, as it were. For example, what we have not seen yet in the iPad's operating system (as far as I know) is a set of customizable hand gestures, or a custom menu of commands and scripts a la AppleScript, that let you do things quickly with the iPad that otherwise would require a lot of navigation. But none of that roadmap was laid out at Steve's announcement. All the flashy hype so far is about how you can play media, and look at pictures, and watch movies, and listen to music, and sure, type the occasional short document or memo, and maybe move numbers around in a simple spreadsheet, but, nothing that really addresses what happens when I become an expert at the iPad, how do I keep becoming more and more productive. Do you just reach a certain point and then hit a wall in terms of furthering your productivity? Is Apple saying if you really wanna be productive, you're going to obviously need to keep using your Mac? Steve repeatedly talked about how the iPad is "the internet in your hands". Great. But what about the internet in my mind? How do I get more and more deep into engaging with people and things via the Internet without having to depend on my hands so much? How is the computer going to do more on my behalf, and in what language can I convey to the system how I want things done?
My Future Shock. I consider myself an expert of my iPhone -- I use it at least an hour if not two per day -- and I am continually frustrated by how I have to work at enactive and iconic levels when I could be doing more at the symbolic level. I don't know what the symbolic levels are yet for such devices. Does anyone? Who's doing research on such stuff? What we need, industry-wide, not just from Apple, and I mean from the entire user community as well, is more thinking about what the future portends for the symbolic level of interaction with hand-held devices that lack a keyboard. When Apple used to promote the Mac as the computer "for the rest of us" they were appealing to "Normals." But Apple smartly embraced and supported all three levels of representation and interaction in the user interface. All these years, this is the way it has been. And suddenly, the wave of hand-held tablet and mobile devices suggest that the future might not have decent support for the most advanced forms of representation and interaction. What then?
Email Activity At the end of September 2008 I got an "Aptera newsletter" email. "There's lots going on here at Aptera," the newsletter began, under a headline of "Getting Closer and Closer to Rollout." "We're getting ready for our big move to our new building," they continued. The newsletter spoke about how they'd hired 21 people between May and August 2008. Things were still looking bright. There wasn't another "Aptera newsletter" email December 23, 2008. Remember, as of August they were saying that the first production vehicle would ship by end of 2008. Here we are at December 23, with a new email newsletter, and there's no mention of the car going into production. Not a good sign. In January 2009 they sent an email entitled "Letter to Reservation Holders" saying they'd missed their end-of-2008 deadline, and worse, the first car wouldn't be going to a customer like planned. Worse yet, they were going to push volume production back to a new date, ten months off, of October 1, 2009. The email also offered a new "Lock-in Program" which would allow a someone who, like me, had already placed an order, to "voluntarily convert" my $500 deposit from a refundable state to a "firm, non-refundable" state. No thank you. I didn't sign up for the lock-in. The next Aptera newsletter didn't get emailed until July 28, 2009. Sure, there was a blurb from the founder, and an interview with one of the execs, and a sneak-peek of the production car's interior, but as someone who put money down to buy one of the cars, what I wanted to know, first and foremost always, as soon as I got a newsletter, was WHEN? When will my car be ready? What is the latest? How is it coming along? Not a word on the subject. The next newsletter arrived on November 23. Oddly, it as designated as "Vol 1, Issue 1". Not an encouraging sign for a customer who plunked down $500 for their car in August 2008, and who has been receiving newsletters since September 2008. Who's running the show, I was wondering. And sure enough: no answer to my question of WHEN. When will my car be ready? What happened to the much-promised October 1, 2009 date for official volume production to commence? No mention of it in this newsletter. Does Aptera think its customers are stupid? Or is Aptera stupid? Someone's stupid, and in this instance I don't think it's me. Surprisingly, on December 31, 2009, Aptera sent out a new email newsletter. This one was Vol 1, Issue 2, and right up front, they explained "why we elected to restart the counter on the Newsletter." Apparently, "many of you had written us" asking about it. This time, the newsletter rattled on about how the car body is composite, how the DOE loan program is progressing, more detail about composites, and news about the X Prize. But no answer to my question of WHEN WILL MY CAR BE READY.
Blog Activity And so it went during the course of 2009 -- what started out as an active blog, trickled down to an occasional new post, sometimes entire months skipped without an update. Remember, in January 2009 they'd promised that October 1, 2009 was the date that the cars would actually go into volume production. That date quietly came and passed. Nothing mentioned on the blog. The last Aptera blog post was October 27th. Since then: silence.
Twitter Activity
Meanwhile, In the News... It was a grim article for someone who'd plunked down $500 to buy one of these cars, expecting to take possession in 2009. At this point I was reminded far too painfully of the story told in the Francis Ford Coppola film "Tucker", about the revolutionary 1950s car that Detroit set out to destroy. I sent in a cancellation order on December 20th. It just wasn't worth it, and I told Aptera that I was no longer confident at all that the company was ever going to actually ship my car. They did respond and they did refund my money in full, so I have to credit them for that. It's a shame it came to this, however. This weekend I have gotten two emails from Aptera -- both unexpected, and both basically the same thing: the latest newsletter. How's this for cheering up your languishing customer base, many of whom are I am sure still trying to get an answer, like I was, to the question of WHEN?: the first headline: "Aptera founder to lead from the boardroom while pursuing new ventures". Heh. I have to chuckle. Been there, done that. Translated, it means, company fires founder, founder manages to keep a board seat. The newsletter quotes the CEO praising the "vision" of the founder and how "we value" his "continued support." Right. And then the next article is headlined, "David Oakley steps down". This is Aptera's VP of manufacturing. Heads are rolling. Then a long article about Aptera's chassis. You know what? I don't care at this point about the chassis. What I cared about was when was I gonna get my car? And here you are, dicking around with your customers on the last weekend of January 2010, going on for dense paragraphs about the car's damn chassis ("if you didn't get it by now", the article ends, "we are really proud of our chassis") when the Aptera world seems to be crashing all around you. So as we enter February, all one can say about Aptera is that Detroit bigwigs have swept in and taken over ("Tucker", anyone?), there is no date in sight for actual production, the blog is dead, the Twitter account is silent, and they love their damn chassis. Aptera. How not to market a car.
Impressive resume from a bold, confident Leonardo da Vinci. Not to be outdone, someone whips up their own software-engineer rendition in the same style. Some quotes from the software engineer one:
In times of low revenue I believe I can give perfect satisfaction and to the equal of any other in maintenance and the refactoring of code public and private; and in guiding data from one warehouse to another.
I know how, when a website is besieged, to shard data onto the cloud, and make endless variety of mirrors, and fault tolerant disks and RAIDs, and other machines pertaining to such concerns.
Again, I have kinds of functions; most convenient and easy to ftp; and with these I can spawn lots of data almost resembling a torrent; and with the download of these cause great terror to the competitor, to his great detriment and confusion.
Yesterday's iPad product announcement left me less than whelmed. I do not see this device as being revolutionary. Apple approached this product very conservatively, deliberately omitting must-have features and new ways of thinking. Instead, it's a bigger iPod Touch, it expands the market for the App Store. What did I hope for with the iPad?
I'm sure I'll be adding to this list, but that's it for now.
I don't know about you, but when I use Safari on my iPhone, and I have regularly since buying the phone in the summer of 2007, I have noticed that the amount of "false clicks" or "unwanted behavior" on the part of the browser has not improved -- it has stayed pretty much steady since 2007. In other words, for many web sites, I find that my intended action of touching the screen to scroll up or down to read more of a news article, say, gets misinterpreted by Safari as me wanting to "click" on a link. So right in the middle of scrolling -- while my finger is still trying to drag the page up or down -- the browser, in its infinite wisdom, has decided that because I happened to unfortunately touch the screen exactly where there happened to be a hyperlink, I surely wished to "click" on that link and jump to that link's page. But no! Many, many times this is NOT what I wanted to do, and I find that I have to wait for the browser to access the other page, then I have to press the 'Back' icon, wait some more, and return to the previous page. When not connected with WiFi this can be a very time-consuming experience. Put another way: a very negative experience. How many others experience this? Surely it's not just me. I would say for every 5 minutes I use Safari on my iPhone, I get burned by Safari and experience this "false click" syndrome about 3-4 times. Over the course of the day, perhaps a dozen or two dozen times. Over the course of a month, perhaps 500 times. Since I've owned the iPhone, perhaps 15000 times. It all seems so preventable, which is the part that bugs me. Seems to me, the operating system should be modified such that there are multiple types of touch: if there is a touch followed by a dragging motion, the program should take that into account and do the right thing. For example, in a browser, if it receives a touch request and it notices that the touch is on or very near a hyperlink, then duh, activate that link. BUT, if it receives a touch request and that is followed by a DRAG up or down, then even if the touch landed on a hyperlink, treat the touch as a scroll request by the user, NOT a link request. Oh, if only Apple would make this change. I truly hope that the new Tablet computer will behave better when it comes to the touch interface for Safari or other apps. It amazes me that Apple has not addressed a huge productivity / user experience problem that should be readily fixable.
At the Computer History Museum this morning, playing around with a PLATO V terminal that's being restored and donated by Aaron Woolfson. Everyone was amazed to watch it work -- this is a piece of hardware that's 33 years old, fully restored to original specifications, running over Internet to cyber1.org. Very cool. More details in a week or two on the upcoming, new PLATO HIstory blog. For now, this sneak peek:
The plan is to have this and several other fully-restored and functional PLATO terminals up and running at the PLATO@50 Conference, June 2-3, 2010, celebrating the 50th Anniversary of the PLATO system, at the Computer History Museum. Hope you can attend!
I did a video shoot of Alan Kay for the upcoming 50th Anniversary of PLATO Conference yesterday, and after I got done shooting the video, Alan told me a little anecdote. I'd asked him what he thought of the rumored tablet coming out from Apple supposedly next week. It made him recall the time that he'd been invited to attend the January 9th, 2007 MacWorld keynote by Steve Jobs where Steve announced the iPhone for the first time to the public. After the event, Alan recalled Steve walking up to him to show him the new iPhone in person. He asked Alan, "So, did we build something worth criticizing?" Alan recalls telling him sure, but if you could just make the screen 5" by 8", you would take over the world. Steve's eyes apparently lit up.
Perhaps Apple takes over the world next week?
|
|
|
|
Copyright © 2002-2010 Birdrock Ventures.
brianstorms is a trademark of Birdrock Ventures.
|